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Teardown

Reading a listing: what a 3.2x multiple is hiding

Taking one listing apart line by line, including the three numbers it doesn't show.

2026-07-28last reviewed 2026-07-28Alex Rivera
The problem

A multiple looks like a fact and behaves like an opinion — it depends entirely on a profit figure the buyer didn't calculate and usually can't see the workings of.

Start with what a multiple is applied to. If the listing quotes profit, the first question is whether that profit is net of the owner's own labour. A solo founder working thirty hours a week and paying themselves nothing is running a business with a hidden cost equal to whatever it would take to replace them.

The second question is what is in the cost line at all. Hosting and payment fees usually are. Contractor payments sometimes are. Ad spend that produced the growth curve frequently is not, which turns a growth story into a cost the buyer inherits.

The third is timing. Trailing-twelve-month profit spanning a one-off surge — a launch, a viral post, one large annual contract — produces a multiple applied to a number that will not recur.

None of this means a 3.2x is wrong. It means 3.2x of what is the only version of the question worth asking, and the answer lives in the cost breakdown, not the headline.

Sources

Part of the guide: How to buy a SaaS business.